Daily Management Review

ECB may start cutting rates ahead of the Fed


04/05/2024


Since inflation in the eurozone is slowing down sooner than anticipated, the European Central Bank may begin loosening monetary policy before the U.S Federal Reserve, writes the Financial Times.



public domain pictures
public domain pictures
In the eurozone, the rate of increase in consumer prices in March decreased from 2.6% in February to 2.4% annually, the lowest level since November of last year. March's 2.9% core inflation rate, which takes food and energy costs out of the equation, was the lowest since February 2022.

In the meantime, the PCE index, the primary inflation indicator that the Fed monitors, increased from 2.4% to 2.5% in February. The increase in the PCE Core index, which does not include the price of food or energy, decreased to 2.8% from 2.9%.

According to Frederik Ducrozet, an analyst at Pictet Wealth Management, "it has become clear in the first three months of this year that the momentum to dampen inflation remains stronger in Europe than in the U.S."

On April 3, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told Stanford that the Fed is still fighting inflation.

"We don't think it would be appropriate to lower the rate until we are more confident that inflation is moving steadily toward 2 percent," he stated.

source: ft.com