State Capitalism Recast as Security Policy in Washington


12/15/2025



The Trump administration’s move toward buying equity stakes in strategically important companies marks a sharp evolution in how Washington thinks about economic power, national security, and industrial policy. Rather than relying primarily on grants, tax incentives, or regulatory nudges, the administration has increasingly embraced direct ownership as a way to lock in supply chains deemed vital to U.S. geopolitical and economic resilience. This approach reflects a growing belief inside the administration that market forces alone cannot counter China’s dominance across minerals, advanced manufacturing, and emerging technologies.
 
At the heart of the pivot is a reassessment of risk. Officials have concluded that subsidies without ownership leave Washington exposed: companies can redirect production overseas, delay projects, or pivot strategy once public money is disbursed. Equity stakes, by contrast, provide leverage, visibility, and a seat at the table. The strategy blurs long-standing ideological boundaries, pushing the United States closer to a form of strategic state capitalism driven not by profit maximisation but by security imperatives.
 
From subsidies to ownership leverage
 
For decades, U.S. industrial policy relied on indirect tools, premised on the idea that private capital would ultimately align with national priorities. The Trump administration’s approach signals dissatisfaction with that assumption. Officials have argued internally that grants and loans reduce upfront costs but do not fundamentally change corporate incentives, especially in sectors with volatile prices, long development timelines, and intense foreign competition.
 
Equity stakes address that problem by aligning the government’s interests directly with project outcomes. Ownership allows Washington to influence governance, enforce production commitments, and prevent strategic assets from drifting into foreign hands. It also gives the state exposure to upside, reframing public investment as a long-term strategic asset rather than a sunk cost. This logic has driven the administration’s willingness to accept minority positions in mining, processing, and manufacturing firms across the critical supply chain.
 
The shift also reflects lessons learned from earlier efforts to reshore manufacturing. Semiconductor shortages, battery supply constraints, and export controls imposed by rival powers exposed vulnerabilities that subsidies alone could not resolve. Direct stakes are seen as a way to harden the system against shocks while accelerating project timelines that might otherwise stall due to financing risks.
 
Minerals as the foundation of strategic autonomy
 
Nowhere is the new approach clearer than in critical minerals, where China’s dominance spans extraction, processing, and downstream manufacturing. The administration has treated minerals not as commodities but as strategic inputs comparable to energy or defense systems. By taking equity positions in projects involving lithium, rare earths, copper, zinc, and other materials, Washington aims to secure access from mine to market.
 
These investments are structured to anchor production on U.S. soil or in politically aligned territories. In Alaska, Nevada, California, and Texas, government ownership is paired with regulatory support, infrastructure access, and long-term offtake assurances. The administration’s willingness to intervene directly, including by facilitating access roads and permitting, underscores how ownership and policy are being deployed together.
 
The logic extends beyond domestic borders. Discussions around projects in Greenland and other allied regions highlight a broader strategic map in which ownership is used to counterbalance Chinese influence over global resource flows. By embedding U.S. capital into these projects, Washington seeks to shape outcomes well before materials reach global markets.
 
Defense logic reshaping commercial roles
 
The Department of Defense has emerged as a central actor in this strategy, reflecting the administration’s view that supply chain security is inseparable from national defense. Stakes taken by defense-linked entities signal that critical minerals and advanced manufacturing are now treated as military-relevant infrastructure, even when final products serve civilian markets.
 
This framing justifies deeper intervention. Defense ownership brings with it expectations around continuity of supply, resilience during crises, and prioritisation of U.S. needs. It also allows the administration to bypass some of the political resistance that might accompany overt industrial planning, positioning investments as security necessities rather than economic experiments.
 
At the same time, this approach recalibrates the relationship between the Pentagon and private industry. Companies receiving investment gain financial backing and political support but accept closer scrutiny and reduced strategic autonomy. For Washington, the trade-off is considered worthwhile, especially in sectors where foreign dependencies are viewed as unacceptable vulnerabilities.
 
Semiconductors and the logic of co-ownership
 
The administration’s decision to take an equity stake in a major U.S. chipmaker illustrates how this philosophy extends into advanced manufacturing. Semiconductors occupy a unique position: they are commercially competitive products but also foundational to defense systems, artificial intelligence, and communications infrastructure.
 
Ownership is intended to stabilise long-term investment in fabs that require tens of billions of dollars and years of construction. By becoming a shareholder, the government signals long-term commitment, reassuring private investors while gaining influence over strategic decisions such as plant location, capacity expansion, and technology focus.
 
This model also addresses concerns that subsidies alone can be arbitraged, with companies accepting public funds while maintaining globalised production strategies. Equity stakes embed national interest into corporate governance, making it harder to decouple public support from domestic output.
 
Political economy of a strategic pivot
 
The administration’s embrace of equity stakes represents a pragmatic departure from traditional free-market rhetoric. Officials have argued that rivals already practice state-backed capitalism at scale, leaving the United States disadvantaged if it clings to ideological purity. In this framing, ownership is not a repudiation of markets but a defensive adaptation to an uneven global playing field.
 
Domestically, the approach also carries political appeal. Investments promise jobs, infrastructure, and industrial revival in regions that have experienced decades of decline. By tying ownership to visible projects, the administration can point to tangible outcomes rather than abstract policy goals. This has helped build bipartisan tolerance for a strategy that might once have faced stiff resistance.
 
Still, the model carries risks. Government ownership raises questions about exit strategies, political interference, and long-term market distortions. There is also the challenge of defining success: whether measured in financial returns, supply security, or geopolitical leverage. The administration has signaled that traditional profit metrics are secondary, but that stance could face scrutiny if projects underperform.
 
What distinguishes this pivot is not the scale of any single investment but the coherence of the underlying logic. Across minerals and semiconductors, the administration has converged on a view that ownership is the most reliable way to secure outcomes in sectors where delays, foreign leverage, or market volatility pose systemic risks.
 
By embedding itself as a shareholder, Washington is redefining its role from regulator and subsidiser to strategic partner. The approach reflects a broader recalibration of how economic power is wielded in an era of intensified geopolitical competition. Rather than standing apart from markets, the state is stepping inside them, selectively and deliberately, to shape trajectories it no longer trusts the market to deliver on its own.
 
Whether this model endures beyond the Trump administration will depend on its perceived effectiveness. But the underlying drivers—supply chain fragility, strategic rivalry, and the limits of subsidy-based policy—are unlikely to fade. In that sense, the move toward equity stakes may mark not a temporary experiment, but a structural shift in how the United States pursues economic security in a contested global system.
 
(Source:www.reuters.com)