Daily Management Review

Experts: Ecosystems degradation could cost global economy $ 10 trillion


The WWF Global Futures report presented results of a study assessing the impact of degradation of basic ecosystem services on the GDP of the world and 140 countries.

Kevin Krejci via flickr
Kevin Krejci via flickr
For the first time, the evaluations used the most advanced economic and environmental integrated models, GTAP (Purdue University’s Global Trade Analysis Project) and InVEST (model of the international project “natural capital”, NatCap, which is run by the University of Minnesota).

The scientists analyzed three scenarios (“business as usual”, “sustainable development” as understood by the UN, and “global conservation” of 30% of the world's virgin natural territories amid a decrease in greenhouse emissions) that affect the supply of natural assets such as coastal ecosystems, pollination, and surface waters, forests and fish stocks. After that, they have calculated how the basic economic indicators, such as GDP, production, trade and prices, will change by 2050 compared to 2011.

In the “business as usual” scenario (the economy continues to intensively consume natural resources, greenhouse gas emissions continue to grow, and biodiversity and natural areas continue to decline) at a discount rate of 3%, global GDP will lose $ 9.9 trillion from 2011 by 2050, or 0.67 percentage points of annual growth over this period. The global supply of fish resources will decrease annually by 1.1%, and prices (compared with the conservation scenario) for forest products will increase by 7.9%, cotton - 5.5%, oilseeds - 3.8%, fruits and vegetables - by 3.4%. The scenario, which presumes conservation and reduction of greenhouse emissions, gives a slight increase in GDP (by $ 0.23 trillion from the level of 2011 and 0.02% annually) and a decrease in prices (in particular, fish will become cheaper by 21.5%, unlike 5.4% in the “business as usual” scenario).

Both the losses and the benefits of the “worst” and “best” scenarios will be unevenly distributed between the countries. In any of them, the United States, Great Britain and Japan will inevitably suffer the main losses due to the degradation of coastal ecosystems.

source: wwf.org.uk

Science & Technology

Tesla In Advance Talks With CATL For Using Lithium Batteries

Financial giants and US government turn to quantum computers

Long Way To Go For Coronavirus Vaccine, Say Drgumakers

Google's subsidiary launches recognition service for photoshopped images

Unapproved Drug For Coronavirus Treatment And Testing Given By Gilead Sciences

Live Facial Recognition Cameras Will Be Used By London Police

Driverless Vehicle For Its Ride-Sharing Service Unveiled By GM’s Cruise

Amazon will allow customers to pay with palms instead of cards

Complete Computer System For Self Driving Cars Launched By Qualcomm

In A Lifetime We Could Accumulate 20Kg Micro-Plastic In Our Body

World Politics

World & Politics

France shuts down first reactor of the country's oldest NPP

Coronavirus Outbreak Delays Several Conference And Trade Deals Across The Globe

Germany pledges to fight right-wing extremism after Hanau shooting

Ex-head of Mexican Pemex will be transferred to Madrid prison

China Releases First Detailed Study Of Coronaviurs Attack, Finds Elderly At Most Risk

EBA Finds Alarming Compliance Results For Gender Diversity Among Banks

Record high temperature observed in Antarctica

Venezuela to initiate international litigation against USA because of sanctions