Daily Management Review

Experts polled by Bloomberg forecast the ECB will raise rates twice this year


05/12/2026


Experts surveyed by Bloomberg indicate that the European Central Bank (ECB) will increase its main interest rates twice this year, with each increase being 25 basis points (bps).



Robert Metsch
Robert Metsch
The military tensions in the Middle East are driving up inflation in the eurozone. In April, the growth of consumer prices in the region increased to 3% from 2.6% in the prior month.

The ECB maintained rates during its meeting on April 30. The deposit rate remained at 2% annually, the main refinancing operations (MRO) rate at 2.15%, and the margin lending rate at 2.4%.

Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg between May 4 and 7 agree that the regulator is expected to increase rates in June and September this year. Experts predict that inflation in the eurozone will average 2.9% this year, decreasing to 2.1% in 2027 and 2% in 2028.

Analysts think the ECB might reduce rates once more in March next year as the eurozone economic situation declines. The typical expert prediction for GDP growth stands at 0.8% for 2026, 1.3% for 2027, and 1.5% for 2028.

source: bloomberg.com